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HELIOS Artifact Buildout — Program Master Plan

Context

577 Industries' NASA SBIR Phase I proposal "HELIOS: Heliophysics-Enhanced Location Integrity and Operations System" (/home/twawe/577i-Projects/SBIR Working Folder/NASA/HELIOS_NASA_SBIR_PhaseI_Proposal.docx) is submitted. The proposal advances a five-objective work plan around a model-agnostic Bayesian-Model-Averaging fusion engine for space-weather model outputs, with two vertical slices: NASA SRAG mission-operations radiation risk and U.S. precision-agriculture GNSS.

The goal of this plan is to convert four of the proposal's strongest claims from paper into citable, deployable, public artifacts:

  1. helios-spaceweather-connectors — Python package + GitHub (Objective 1)
  2. helios-fusion-engine (public framework) + private companion + arXiv preprint (Objective 2 + §3.1 pre-registration)
  3. gannon-storm-rtk-analysis — repo + blog post (§1.3 marquee event + Objective 4 feasibility)
  4. helios-provenance-spec — JSON Schema RFC + reference implementation (§1.4 CONOPS + §4.2 innovation #2)

Each artifact converts a paper claim into a URL reviewers and stakeholders can kick the tires on. They feed a proposal companion document maintained in parallel — a public-facing mirror of the submitted proposal with live citations — which becomes Phase II re-pitch material, NASA-center engagement collateral (CCMC, M2M SWAO, SRAG, SPoRT), and the 577industries.com/helios landing page.

Submission has happened; timeline is open-ended. The plan optimizes for quality and Phase II readiness, not deadline pressure.

Decisions Locked

Decision Choice Why it matters
Timeline Open-ended, Phase II-oriented Permits sequential quality gates over parallel speed-runs where the dependency requires it
Fusion-engine IP scope Hybrid: public framework, private weights/configs Matches §6.6 IP strategy; companion private repo helios-fusion-internal holds trained weights, BMA priors, equipment transfer functions
Execution team Solo founder (Thomas) + heavy Claude agent delegation Aggressive parallel agent dispatch across 4 worktrees; you on review/merge/secrets
Paper kill-gate §2 Obj. 3 criterion (pre-registered): fused all-clear-revocation HSS beats best-component-model HSS by ≥15% on 3-event hold-out (2022-01-20 M5.5, 2023-02-17 X2.2, 2024-05-11 Gannon G5) AND reliability slope within 0.15 across all Kp severity strata Both must pass → full arXiv paper. One fails → honest-negative-result ablation paper (still valuable). Both fail → no paper, fusion engine ships without preprint citation
GitHub home github.com/577Industries/ (organization, alongside aegisgraph + model-router + agent-memory + tool-guardrails) Matches established public 577 SBIR portfolio. Session-1 bootstrap mistakenly used the user account 577-Industries (with hyphen); session-1 cleanup transferred all six repos to the org. See CLAUDE.md §"GitHub identity disambiguation" — non-negotiable for future sessions.
License Apache 2.0 across all public repos Preserves patent grant for SBIR data-rights compatibility; broader than MIT for SaaS/OEM downstreams
Python baseline 3.11+ (3.12 preferred) Pattern matching, exception groups, modern typing

Defaults applied (flag any to revise)

  • Local checkout convention: ~/577i-Projects/<repo>/ matching existing sibling repos (agent-memory, hashchain-audit, model-router, tool-guardrails, workflow-dag).
  • Worktree convention: ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/<repo>-<branch>/ matching the directory you already maintain at ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/.
  • Meta-repo: ~/577i-Projects/helios-program/ (private, on GitHub) holds the proposal companion document source, cross-repo orchestration scripts, the master plan tracker, kill-gate evaluation runner, and per-artifact design specs as they're created.
  • CITATION: every public repo ships CITATION.cff so academic citers don't have to invent one.
  • PyPI: helios-spaceweather-connectors, helios-fusion-engine, helios-provenance namespace; helios-fusion-internal is wheel-only via internal index, never PyPI.
  • DOI: each public release tagged on GitHub auto-mints a Zenodo DOI (free, accepts arbitrary GitHub repos).

Scope and Decomposition

The work splits into one program-level orchestration layer (this plan, plus the meta-repo helios-program) and five independent execution streams:

Stream Artifact Public? Eff. weeks Critical-path?
A helios-provenance-spec Yes (RFC + ref impl) 2 Yes — unblocks B's schema
B helios-spaceweather-connectors Yes 4 Yes — unblocks C's data
C helios-fusion-engine (public framework) + helios-fusion-internal (private) + arXiv preprint Hybrid 8-10 Yes — paper depends on C
D gannon-storm-rtk-analysis Yes 3 No — runs parallel from week 1 (CORS data is public and independent)
E Proposal companion document Yes (web + PDF) Continuous No — updates as A-D ship

Each stream gets its own per-artifact brainstorm → spec → plan → execute cycle as a follow-up once this master plan is approved. This plan does NOT design the internals of each artifact — it sets up the program-level orchestration, conventions, dependency graph, and quality gates that all four streams will inherit.

Dependency Graph

Week: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 A (spec): [══ v0.1 RFC ══][refine─►v1.0] B (conn): [══ v0.1 ══][══ v0.2 ══][══ v1.0 ══] ▲ uses A v0.1 schema C (fuse): [skeleton][train Table 3-1][hold-out][kill-gate│paper] ▲ uses B v0.2 data flow │ └─uses A schema for output provenance ▼ D (Gannon): [══ data pull ══][analysis][blog post + repo] ▲ uses B's CORS adapter (or builds its own thin fetcher) E (companion): [───────── updated weekly ─────────►][publish v1.0 web]

Hard ordering: 1. A v0.1 RFC schema must exist before B v0.1 final commits (B uses A's ProvenanceRecord type). 2. B v0.2 (at least DONKI, SWPC, GOES, Scoreboard A) must be importable before C trains on Table 3-1 events. 3. C kill-gate evaluation runs on the 3-event hold-out after Table 3-1 training is locked. 4. Paper write-up only proceeds if kill-gate passes; otherwise pivot to ablation paper or no paper.

Soft ordering: - D can start week 1 (CORS RINEX is public via NGS, no auth needed). - E updates continuously as A-D ship public URLs.

Per-Artifact Briefs

A — helios-provenance-spec

What: JSON Schema (draft 2020-12) describing how every HELIOS output traces back through fusion to upstream models, plus a Python reference implementation (pydantic v2 models that emit/validate provenance records). Issued as an open RFC on GitHub for community comment.

Architecture (per Phase 1 survey): Adopt SPASE 2.7.1 (heliophysics dataset metadata, spase-group.org) + W3C PROV-JSON (feature-level lineage relations: wasGeneratedBy, used, wasDerivedFrom) + RO-Crate 1.2 JSON-LD packaging. Novel contribution: a feature-level transformation chain record format binding upstream model output values → calibration parameters → fused output value, with confidence-interval provenance. No existing heliophysics project does feature-level lineage today.

Repo layout: helios-provenance-spec/ ├── schema/ │ ├── helios-provenance-v0.1.json # JSON Schema 2020-12 │ ├── examples/ # validated example records │ └── crosswalks/ # to SPASE / RO-Crate ├── ref-impl/ # Python pydantic v2 models │ └── helios_provenance/ ├── docs/ # MkDocs site → readthedocs ├── rfc/ │ └── RFC-0001-feature-lineage.md # community-comment doc └── tests/

Quality gates (citable when met): schema validates ≥10 example records covering each upstream source; pydantic ref impl has ≥95% test coverage; MkDocs site live; RFC issue open and circulated to CCMC/SPASE-list/sunpy-dev; tagged v0.1.0; Zenodo DOI minted.

Citation in companion doc: §1.4 (CONOPS provenance affordance) + §4.2 innovation #2 + every other artifact's ProvenanceRecord type imports from here.

B — helios-spaceweather-connectors

What: Production-grade Python adapters for 6 space-weather data sources, normalized to a common feature schema with feature-level provenance tracking per spec A. Direct fulfilment of Objective 1 in the proposal.

Architecture (per Phase 1 survey): 3 BUILD, 1 EXTEND, 2 WRAP.

Source Strategy Notes
NASA DONKI BUILD nasapy dormant; implement full CME/flare/SEP/HSS/IPS/MPC/GST/RBE coverage with intelligent linkages
CCMC SEP Scoreboards A/B/C BUILD No read client exists; respect CCMC rate limits per §3 T1
NOAA SWPC EXTEND SunPy covers indices; HELIOS adds plasma/mag/SEP forecast JSON endpoints
CDDIS GIMs (IONEX) BUILD Earthdata auth + IONEX parsing + parquet cache
GOES X-ray/proton WRAP Thin adapter over PySPEDAS + SWPC near-real-time JSON
DSCOVR WRAP Thin adapter over PySPEDAS + real-time JSON

Excluded: HESPERIA REleASE (commercial licensing per §3 T1, ref [30]). UMASEP, SEPMOD, MagPy individual model outputs come through SEP Scoreboards, not direct.

Repo layout: helios-spaceweather-connectors/ ├── src/helios_connectors/ │ ├── adapters/ # one module per source │ ├── schema.py # imports ProvenanceRecord from helios-provenance │ ├── cache.py # parquet on disk │ └── ratelimit.py ├── tests/ ├── examples/ # one Jupyter notebook per adapter + a fusion-input recipe └── docs/

Quality gates: all 6 adapters importable; each has ≥1 example notebook running end-to-end in CI; integration test against live endpoints in nightly CI (separated from unit tests so they don't break PR signal); ≥80% line coverage; PyPI published; tagged v0.1.0; README badges (CI/PyPI/coverage/license/DOI); rate-limit handling documented; provenance records emit for every fetched data point.

Citation in companion doc: §2 Objective 1; §3 T1 ingestion pipeline; every NASA-center engagement deck.

C — helios-fusion-engine (public) + helios-fusion-internal (private) + arXiv preprint

What — public: BMA orchestrator, isotonic-regression reliability calibrator, conformal-prediction wrappers, severity-stratified validation harness, CCMC-compatible metrics suite (HSS, TSS, POD, FAR, Brier, CRPS). Framework only — no trained weights, no production BMA priors, no equipment transfer functions.

What — private: trained weights, BMA priors fitted on Table 3-1 training events, equipment transfer functions for StarFire/Trimble/AgLeader (slated for Phase II refinement). Kept in helios-fusion-internal private repo, hosted on internal PyPI mirror or direct git install.

What — arXiv preprint: retrospective results on Table 3-1's 7 training events + 3 hold-out events, with pre-registration filed on OSF (Open Science Framework) before hold-out evaluation runs. Target venue: astro-ph.SR (heliophysics) with cs.LG cross-list.

Kill-gate (pre-registered, do not retune): - Fused HSS on 3-event hold-out > best-component-model HSS × 1.15 (i.e., ≥15% relative improvement, matching proposal §2 Obj. 3 success criterion). - Reliability-diagram slope within 0.15 of 1.0 across all three Kp severity strata (quiet / moderate / extreme). - If both pass → full paper (~12 pages, 8 figures). - If one passes → ablation paper with honest negative result on the failing dimension (still valuable; demonstrates pre-registration discipline). - If both fail → no paper; ship framework with notebook showing the negative result; cite "calibration achieved on training set; hold-out improvement did not meet pre-registered threshold."

Repo layout (public): helios-fusion-engine/ ├── src/helios_fusion/ │ ├── bma/ # Bayesian model averaging orchestrator │ ├── calibration/ # isotonic + Platt (rejected, kept for comparison) │ ├── conformal/ # split conformal + Mondrian (severity-stratified) │ ├── eval/ # HSS, TSS, POD, FAR, Brier, CRPS + bootstrap CIs │ └── stratification/ # Kp-bin severity-stratified validation ├── tests/ # synthetic data tests; integration tests use fixtures ├── paper/ # arXiv preprint LaTeX source + figures notebook ├── notebooks/ │ └── reproducibility.ipynb # full Table 3-1 retrospective from public sources └── docs/

Quality gates (framework): ≥85% coverage on core fusion code; benchmark notebook runs reproducibly from public data (via helios-spaceweather-connectors); PyPI published; v0.1.0 tagged; Zenodo DOI; docs site.

Quality gates (paper): pre-registration on OSF (with timestamp) BEFORE hold-out runs; bootstrapped 95% CIs on all metrics; reliability diagrams in supplement; figures reproducible from notebook; arXiv submitted to astro-ph.SR + cs.LG; preprint URL added to companion doc §2 Obj. 2.

Citation in companion doc: §2 Objective 2 + §3.1 pre-registered validation + §4.2 innovation #1 (model-agnostic decision-calibrated fusion).

D — gannon-storm-rtk-analysis

What: Pull NGS CORS RINEX for Iowa/Illinois/Indiana/Ohio stations covering May 9-13, 2024 (Gannon G5 storm 3-day window). Compute positioning solutions and 2D error envelopes per region. Correlate with SWPC indices (Kp, Dst, NOAA proton flux). Output: GitHub repo with reproducible notebook + blog post on 577industries.com + Twitter/LinkedIn thread with CTAs to the companion document.

Why this matters: §1.3 of the proposal is the strongest customer-discovery hook (the Gannon anecdote). Today it's a story; this artifact makes it a citable result with code, data, and a 2D error map a row-crop operator can recognize. It demonstrates the equipment-transfer-function concept on real data, without depending on the full fusion engine.

Method (v1): PPP positioning via RTKLIB or gnss-pylib; 2D horizontal error vs. time, per station, color-coded by Kp severity. Equipment transfer function v0 is climatological/empirical — full receiver-family-specific functions come in Phase II.

Repo layout: gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/ ├── data/ # .gitignore'd; pulled via fetch.py ├── src/ │ └── analysis.py ├── notebooks/ │ ├── 01-fetch-cors.ipynb │ ├── 02-positioning-solutions.ipynb │ └── 03-correlate-swpc.ipynb ├── results/ # figures, error CSVs committed ├── blog-post/ # markdown source for 577industries.com └── README.md # links to blog + key result figure

Quality gates: notebook reproducible end-to-end via make all; every figure has data + method + timestamp footer; blog post published on 577industries.com; LinkedIn + Twitter posts scheduled with CTA to companion doc; data manifest with NGS CORS station IDs + dates.

Citation in companion doc: §1.3 Gannon case study + §2 Objective 4 GNSS slice + §4.2 innovation #4 (equipment-aware GNSS prediction, foreshadowed by transfer-function approach in v1).

E — Proposal Companion Document (helios-program/companion/)

What: A public-facing markdown mirror of the submitted proposal, rendered to PDF via pandoc and to web via GitHub Pages or Cloudflare Pages. Identical section structure; every claim that maps to a live artifact gets a URL footnote linking to repo/notebook/preprint/blog.

Purpose audiences: 1. Phase II re-pitch reviewers (assume rejection of Phase I or routine Phase II application — strongest single piece of evidence) 2. NASA-center engagement decks: CCMC validation discussions, M2M SWAO meetings, SRAG ALARA-framework alignment, SPoRT R2O2R conversations 3. Customer-discovery pre-reads: OSU Extension intros, OARDC, OEM platform teams (Deere, AGCO, CNH) 4. Public web presence: 577industries.com/helios landing page; LinkedIn/Twitter announcement engine

Repo layout (in helios-program/): helios-program/ ├── companion/ │ ├── companion.md # source — mirrors proposal sections 1-8 │ ├── footnotes.yaml # artifact URL registry, autoincluded │ ├── render.py # pandoc-based PDF + HTML generation │ └── assets/ ├── orchestration/ │ ├── kill_gate.py # runs the pre-registered HSS+reliability check │ ├── schema_diff.py # detects A v0.1 → v0.2 breaking changes for B and C │ └── companion_sync.py # rebuilds footnotes from artifact READMEs ├── specs/ # per-artifact design docs from follow-up brainstorm cycles │ ├── 2026-MM-DD-provenance-spec-design.md │ ├── 2026-MM-DD-connectors-design.md │ ├── 2026-MM-DD-fusion-engine-design.md │ └── 2026-MM-DD-gannon-analysis-design.md └── plan/ └── master-plan.md # this document, mirrored from ~/.claude/plans/

Quality gates: companion.md updates on every artifact merge to main (via GitHub Action triggered by repository_dispatch from artifact repos); PDF auto-publishes to GitHub Pages; mobile-readable web view; SEO-clean (Open Graph tags so LinkedIn previews render); every URL footnote works (link-checker CI).

Shared Repository Conventions

Applied identically to all 4 public artifacts (A, B, C-public, D):

Concern Convention
Layout PEP-621 pyproject.toml, src/<package>/ layout
Python 3.11+ (3.12 preferred), full typing with strict mypy
Lint/format ruff (replaces black + flake8 + isort + most pylint), ruff check and ruff format in pre-commit and CI
Type check mypy --strict for src/; --ignore-missing-imports permitted on third-party gaps
Tests pytest, pytest-cov, hypothesis where invariants exist; ≥80% line coverage gate in CI
CI/CD GitHub Actions; matrix on 3.11 + 3.12; nightly integration suite separate from PR suite
Release Trusted publishing to PyPI on tagged release; auto Zenodo DOI mint
Docs MkDocs (Material theme), readthedocs hosting, autoref to docstrings
License Apache 2.0 with NOTICE file
Versioning SemVer; v0.x while pre-stable; pre-1.0 reserved until A v1.0 RFC closes
Pre-commit ruff, mypy, conventional-commit lint, secrets scan (detect-secrets)
Security pip-audit + safety in CI; GitHub Dependabot enabled
Code review pr-review-toolkit:review-pr agent runs on every PR; coderabbit:code-review for major merges
Citation CITATION.cff per repo
Community CODE_OF_CONDUCT.md, CONTRIBUTING.md (lightweight; "open an issue first for substantive changes")
Badges CI, PyPI version, coverage, license, DOI, "made with Claude Code" optional

Worktree Topology and Agent Dispatch Model

Directory layout: ~/577i-Projects/ ├── helios-program/ # meta-repo (private GitHub) ├── helios-provenance-spec/ # public GitHub repo ├── helios-spaceweather-connectors/ # public GitHub repo ├── helios-fusion-engine/ # public GitHub repo ├── helios-fusion-internal/ # private GitHub repo ├── gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/ # public GitHub repo └── .worktrees/ # existing convention ├── helios-provenance-spec-<branch>/ ├── helios-connectors-<branch>/ └── ...

Per-artifact agent pipeline (run by you-as-conductor from main session):

  1. Discover — dispatch 1-3 Explore agents in parallel for state-of-art + API docs + library-survey questions
  2. Design — dispatch one feature-dev:code-architect agent against a fresh worktree to produce per-artifact design spec; spec lands at helios-program/specs/YYYY-MM-DD-<artifact>-design.md
  3. Build — decompose design into independent task chunks via superpowers:writing-plans; dispatch general-purpose agents in parallel worktrees for each chunk per superpowers:subagent-driven-development
  4. Reviewpr-review-toolkit:code-reviewer or feature-dev:code-reviewer against the integrated branch; coderabbit:code-review before merge to main

Cross-artifact orchestration (run from main session in helios-program): - Weekly: pull artifact READMEs, regenerate companion footnotes, push to gh-pages - On provenance-spec breaking change: dispatch a general-purpose agent in connectors + fusion-engine worktrees to update consumers; surface as a PR - On B v0.2 merge: dispatch fusion-engine agent to wire connector data into eval harness - On kill-gate evaluation day: I (Claude in main session) run orchestration/kill_gate.py, render result, decide paper branch

Parallelism budget: with solo + heavy Claude delegation, target 3-5 simultaneous worktrees active at any time. More than 5 → context-switching cost on review exceeds parallelism gains.

Critical Files To Be Created

Path Purpose
~/577i-Projects/helios-program/ (NEW repo) Meta-repo: companion doc source, orchestration scripts, master plan, per-artifact specs
~/577i-Projects/helios-provenance-spec/ (NEW repo) Public RFC + ref impl
~/577i-Projects/helios-spaceweather-connectors/ (NEW repo) Public Python package
~/577i-Projects/helios-fusion-engine/ (NEW repo) Public fusion framework
~/577i-Projects/helios-fusion-internal/ (NEW PRIVATE repo) Trained weights, BMA priors, eq transfer functions
~/577i-Projects/gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/ (NEW repo) Public analysis + blog
~/577i-Projects/helios-program/companion/companion.md Public-facing proposal mirror
~/577i-Projects/helios-program/specs/ (4 files) Per-artifact design specs from follow-up brainstorms

Nothing in /home/twawe/577i-Projects/SBIR Working Folder/NASA/ is modified by this plan. The submitted proposal .docx stays as-is; the companion document is the public live mirror.

Verification & Quality Gates

Per-artifact "citable"-readiness checklist (all must be true before companion doc cites the artifact URL):

  • CI green on main (lint + type + test + coverage gate)
  • README with badges and ≥1 working quick-start example
  • LICENSE (Apache 2.0) + NOTICE + CITATION.cff
  • Tagged v0.1.0 release
  • For Python packages: published to PyPI
  • DOI minted via Zenodo
  • For A: RFC issue open and circulated to SPASE-list + sunpy-dev + ccmc-feedback
  • For C-paper: pre-registration timestamped on OSF before hold-out evaluation runs
  • For D: blog post published; social posts scheduled

Program-level end-to-end verification: 1. git clone any of the 4 public repos into a fresh container; pip install -e .; pytest passes 2. Run the connectors example notebook → produces normalized records → validates against helios-provenance-spec schema 3. Run the fusion engine reproducibility notebook → recovers headline retrospective numbers from Table 3-1 events ±5% 4. Open companion doc on web → every artifact footnote URL returns 200 + repo readme renders 5. gh pr view shows the pr-review-toolkit + coderabbit reviews ran on each merge

Kill-gate verification (specific to C-paper): - Pre-registration on OSF includes: exact HSS formula, severity-strata definitions, hold-out event list, bootstrap protocol — frozen before hold-out runs - helios-program/orchestration/kill_gate.py executes once, prints PASS/FAIL with all metrics, commits result to helios-program/results/YYYY-MM-DD-killgate.json

Risks Specific to the Program-Level Plan

(Per-artifact risks belong in each artifact's own design spec; these are the cross-cutting ones.)

Risk Likelihood Impact Mitigation
Provenance spec churns mid-build, breaks connectors and fusion engine repeatedly Medium High A ships v0.1 as RFC, not stable; consumers pin to a specific v0.x; breaking changes ship as v0.(N+1) with a documented migration; schema_diff.py flags incompatible changes pre-merge
Fusion-engine kill-gate fails on hold-out; user emotional pressure to rerun Low (process-mitigated) High to credibility Pre-registration on OSF makes "retune" detectable; ablation-paper branch is pre-defined so failure has a graceful exit
Agent dispatch fan-out exceeds review capacity; PRs stack up unmerged Medium Medium Cap simultaneous active worktrees at 5; weekly merge-day; small focused PRs over large omnibus PRs
CCMC rate-limiting trips during nightly integration tests, looks like outage in CI Medium Low Integration suite uses recorded fixtures by default; live-endpoint job runs once daily with backoff
Companion doc drifts from artifact reality Medium Medium companion_sync.py rebuilds footnotes from artifact READMEs on every artifact merge; link-checker CI on companion repo
Phase II review timing forces premature artifact citations Low (open-ended timeline) Medium Companion supports per-artifact status: rfc | in-development | stable field; status renders next to URL so reviewers know maturity
helios-fusion-internal private repo secrets leak into public framework Low High .gitignore of weights/configs paths is duplicated in pre-commit hook with detect-secrets; CI fails on any .npy/.pkl in public repo

What Happens Immediately After This Plan Is Approved

  1. Initialize helios-program meta-repo locally and on GitHub (private). Commit this plan to helios-program/plan/master-plan.md.
  2. Bootstrap the 5 GitHub repos (4 public + 1 private) with shared scaffolding: pyproject.toml, GH Actions templates, pre-commit, LICENSE, CITATION.cff, MkDocs skeleton, README placeholder.
  3. Brainstorm + spec Artifact A (helios-provenance-spec) first using superpowers:brainstorming → spec → superpowers:writing-planssuperpowers:subagent-driven-development. Ship v0.1 RFC.
  4. Start Artifact D (gannon-storm-rtk-analysis) in parallel — independent of A and B; brainstorm-spec-build cycle.
  5. As A v0.1 lands: start Artifact B brainstorm-spec-build. Connectors phase first wave (DONKI, SWPC, GOES, DSCOVR, Scoreboard A).
  6. As B v0.2 lands: start Artifact C brainstorm-spec-build. Fusion engine framework first, then training on Table 3-1, then hold-out, then kill-gate, then paper-or-ablation.
  7. Continuous: companion document updated weekly; LinkedIn/Twitter announcements as each artifact's v0.1.0 ships.

Each of those follow-up cycles is its own brainstorm → spec → plan → execute sequence with its own user-approval gate. This master plan only orchestrates the program.


Wave 2 + Polish Pass — Plan (Session 2, 2026-05-17)

Context

Wave 1 shipped Phase 1 artifacts publicly: helios-program (private→public meta-repo at github.com/577Industries/helios-program with live docs at https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/), provenance-spec v0.1.0 RFC, fusion-engine v0.1.0 framework, Gannon analysis v0.1.0 (1,302 station-hours headline), and the foundation+DONKI of helios-spaceweather-connectors (no v0.1.0 yet, by design — held until ≥3 adapters live). The session-1 work also migrated all repos from the user account 577-Industries (hyphen) to the organization 577Industries (no hyphen, where aegisgraph + the rest of the public 577 SBIR portfolio lives).

This Wave 2 + Polish pass addresses six interleaved workstreams the user asked to bundle into a single comprehensive execution:

  1. Repo cleanup — Phase 1 audit (Explore agent E2) surfaced concrete P1+P2 issues across all 6 repos
  2. Visual polish for GitHub Pages — current site renders correctly but is stock Material; needs distinctive credibility signals for the NASA-center + precision-ag audience per Explore agent E3
  3. Deploy Pages for the 4 artifact repos — currently only helios-program has a published site; each artifact already has an mkdocs.yml from bootstrap but no live URL
  4. CLAUDE.md at the meta-repo root for future Claude sessions and any developer onboarding to the program (operator-confirmed scope: helios-program root only)
  5. Wave 2 connector adapters — 5 new adapters across 2 staged sub-waves (3a: SWPC + GOES + DSCOVR; then 2b: SEP Scoreboards + CDDIS GIMs) to unblock helios-fusion-engine's training phase
  6. Four "next moves" from session 1 — PyPI publication for A/C, RFC issue #1 on provenance-spec, Gannon blog post publication, and the Wave 2 dispatch itself

Decisions Locked (this round)

Decision Choice Why it matters
Polish scope Full polish (~1-2 days) Custom logo + Mermaid diagram + include-markdown refactor + dark mode tuning, not just MVP palette swap
Artifact Pages Deploy all 4 at https://577industries.github.io/<repo>/ with consistent style Five published sites total; reviewers can deep-link to per-artifact docs
CLAUDE.md scope helios-program root only One canonical reference; deviation from sister-repo house style (which has none) is acknowledged
Wave 2 parallelism 3 + 2 staged sub-waves 2a (SWPC, GOES, DSCOVR; DONKI-pattern-similar) lands first; 2b (Scoreboards, CDDIS GIMs; complex) after

Defaults applied (flag any to revise)

  • Palette swap: deep_purple/amberblue (primary) + teal (accent) per Explore E3's recommendation. Better dark-mode contrast; signals "credible engineering" to the NASA audience.
  • Hero treatment: lead with "1,302 station-hours over 2.5 cm threshold" but with an inline climatological-v1 modifier so the disclosure discipline from gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/docs/methodology.md is preserved.
  • Custom logo: minimal sun motif (single SVG, ≤2 colors, ≤8 KB). HELIOS is sun-themed. Avoid cartoon styling; aim for "research lab" register.
  • No patent attribution in any HELIOS repo (unlike sister TS libs which cite specific 577 patents) — HELIOS IP strategy is per master plan §6.6 (hybrid open/private with SBIR data rights on the fusion and translation layers).
  • helios-fusion-internal stays private; no Pages site; not touched by this pass other than docs banner clarifying private/IP-gated status.

Sequencing

Seven phases, executed in order (each phase commits + pushes before the next begins):

Phase Workstream Eff. (h) Critical-path?
P1 Cleanup (P1+P2 fixes from audit) 2 Yes — unblocks polish work
P2 Visual polish for helios-program Pages 4-6 No — but blocks P3 (style template)
P3 Deploy Pages for 4 artifact repos with consistent style 2-3 No
P4 CLAUDE.md at helios-program root 1 No
P5 Wave 2a connector dispatch (3 agents in parallel) 2 dispatch + ~30min/agent runtime Yes — unblocks B v0.2.0a1 alpha
P6 Wave 2b connector dispatch (2 agents in parallel, after 2a merges) 1 dispatch + ~45min/agent runtime Yes — unblocks B v0.2.0 stable
P7 RFC issue + PyPI trusted publishing wiring + Gannon blog staging 2 No

Phases P1-P4 are the polish/cleanup pass (~half-day effective). P5-P6 are Wave 2 (~1-2 day async — agents work while operator reviews). P7 is the four "next moves" wrap-up.


Phase 1 — Cleanup pass (P1+P2 from Explore agent E2 audit)

Cross-cutting fixes (apply once across repos)

Fix Files / locations
Fix PyPI URL mismatch in companion footnotes helios-program/companion/footnotes.yaml:9 — change helios-provenance/helios-provenance-spec/
Create shared meta-file template directory helios-program/templates/ containing: SECURITY.md, CHANGELOG.md.template, .github/PULL_REQUEST_TEMPLATE.md, .github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/bug.md, .github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/feature.md, .github/FUNDING.yml
Distribute meta-files to all 4 public artifact repos + helios-program Copy from templates, customize per-artifact PR template checklist (e.g., connectors PR template includes "new adapter tests + docs/adapters/*.md updated"; fusion-engine PR template includes "≥85% coverage maintained")
Final sweep for any remaining 577-Industries (hyphen) references grep -r '577-Industries' . across all 6 repos; expected: zero hits
GitHub topics consistency gh repo edit --add-topic calls per repo — already done in session 1, audit confirms; spot-check

Per-repo P1+P2 fixes (from E2 audit tables)

Repo Action
helios-fusion-engine Add explicit link to OSF pre-registration template in README Status section (line ~43): [OSF pre-registration template](https://github.com/577Industries/helios-program/blob/main/orchestration/osf_preregistration.template.md). Add CHANGELOG.md with [0.1.0] — 2026-05-17 entry. Sync CITATION.cff version 0.0.0 → 0.1.0 (drifted).
helios-provenance-spec Add cross-link to review pack in README. CITATION.cff already at 0.1.0 — verify date matches release.
helios-spaceweather-connectors Add CHANGELOG.md with [unreleased] placeholder. Add cross-link to review pack.
gannon-storm-rtk-analysis Delete data/.gitkeep (folder now used). Add CHANGELOG.md. Add cross-link to review pack. Move blog-post discoverability earlier in README.
helios-fusion-internal Add private/IP-gated banner to README; confirm Pages NOT enabled.
helios-program Fix footnotes.yaml PyPI URL (above). Confirm topics.

Verification gate for Phase 1

  • grep -rn '577-Industries' ~/577i-Projects/helios-* ~/577i-Projects/gannon-storm-rtk-analysis 2>/dev/null returns zero hits
  • All 4 public artifact repos contain SECURITY.md, CHANGELOG.md, .github/PULL_REQUEST_TEMPLATE.md, .github/ISSUE_TEMPLATE/{bug,feature}.md, .github/FUNDING.yml
  • curl -sI https://pypi.org/project/helios-provenance-spec/ returns HTTP 200 (already published implicitly via GH release — confirms URL matches)
  • helios-fusion-engine README contains the OSF pre-reg link
  • Companion footnotes regenerate identically: python3 -m orchestration.companion_sync --check exits 0

Phase 2 — Visual polish for helios-program Pages (FULL polish)

Target site: https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/ — currently stock MkDocs Material with deep_purple/amber palette.

Stack changes (mkdocs.yml + requirements-docs.txt)

Add to requirements-docs.txt (pinned for reproducibility): mkdocs-material==9.5.27 mkdocs-git-revision-date-localized-plugin==1.2.6 mkdocs-include-markdown-plugin==8.0.1 mkdocs-glightbox==0.4.0 pymdown-extensions==10.9

mkdocs.yml palette swap (deep_purple/amber → blue/teal): yaml theme: name: material custom_dir: overrides # NEW — for home.html override palette: - media: "(prefers-color-scheme: light)" scheme: default primary: blue accent: teal - media: "(prefers-color-scheme: dark)" scheme: slate primary: indigo accent: teal icon: repo: fontawesome/brands/github logo: material/sun # placeholder until custom SVG ships font: text: Roboto code: Roboto Mono features: - navigation.tabs - navigation.sections - navigation.expand - navigation.indexes - navigation.top # NEW — back-to-top button - toc.follow - search.suggest - search.highlight - content.code.copy - content.action.edit # NEW — "Edit on GitHub" links - content.tooltips

Plugins: yaml plugins: - search - git-revision-date-localized: enable_creation_date: true type: iso_date - include-markdown - glightbox - social # built-in Material 9.5+ — auto preview cards

edit_uri: edit/main/docs/ — points the "Edit on GitHub" links at the correct branch.

extra.social footer: yaml extra: social: - icon: fontawesome/brands/github link: https://github.com/577Industries/helios-program - icon: fontawesome/brands/linkedin link: https://www.linkedin.com/company/577-industries/

Custom landing page

overrides/home.html (extends base.html): hero section + 4 artifact status cards + key stats + document registry + CTA.

Hero copy (with disclosure-preserving caveat):

HELIOS

Heliophysics-Enhanced Location Integrity and Operations System

Calibrated, provenance-tracked decision intelligence for NASA mission operations and U.S. precision agriculture.

1,302 station-hours of RTK positioning exceeding the 2.5 cm planting threshold during the May 2024 Gannon G5 storm — first reproducible quantification of solar-storm impact on U.S. row-crop GNSS. (Climatological v1; full SPP in v2.)

[ View Artifacts ] [ Read the Plan ] [ GitHub ]

4 artifact status cards (dynamic status badges read from footnotes.yaml):

Card Tagline Status badge color
helios-provenance-spec "Feature-level lineage RFC for heliophysics fusion" green (in-development)
helios-spaceweather-connectors "DONKI live; 5 more adapters in flight" amber (scaffolding)
helios-fusion-engine "BMA + isotonic + Mondrian conformal framework" green (in-development)
gannon-storm-rtk-analysis "1,302 station-hours quantified" green (in-development)

Mermaid dependency diagram (in home page or master plan page):

graph LR
  A[helios-provenance-spec] -->|schema| B[helios-spaceweather-connectors]
  A -->|schema| C[helios-fusion-engine]
  B -->|Table 3-1 data| C
  D[gannon-storm-rtk-analysis] -.->|independent| B
  C -->|trained weights| F[helios-fusion-internal]
  classDef shipped fill:#5cb85c,stroke:#3e8e41,color:#fff
  classDef partial fill:#f0ad4e,stroke:#cb8430,color:#fff
  classDef private fill:#888,stroke:#555,color:#fff
  class A,C,D shipped
  class B partial
  class F private

Custom CSS

docs/stylesheets/extra.css — ~150 lines covering: - .md-hero gradient background, headline typography - .md-artifact-grid 4-column responsive grid; auto-fit, minmax(250px, 1fr) - .md-artifact-card shadow + hover lift + status pill colors (green/amber/grey for stable/in-development/scaffolding) - .md-stats 3-up grid for headline numbers - Dark mode adjustments - Print-friendly overrides (so reviewer PDF export looks clean)

Referenced in mkdocs.yml: yaml extra_css: - stylesheets/extra.css

docs/assets/logo.svg + docs/assets/favicon.png: - Single SVG, ≤2 colors (primary blue + accent teal), ≤8 KB - Concept: stylized sun with a horizontal line bisecting it (suggests horizon/ionosphere) - Restrained, NOT cartoon; "research lab" aesthetic per E3's audience analysis - favicon.png at 64×64 for browser tab

mkdocs.yml: yaml theme: logo: assets/logo.svg favicon: assets/favicon.png

Workflow refactor: eliminate the cp aggregation step

Current .github/workflows/pages.yml does: ```bash cp companion/companion.md docs/index.md cp plan/master-plan.md docs/master-plan.md

...etc

```

Refactored approach using mkdocs-include-markdown-plugin:

docs/index.md: ```markdown


title: HELIOS template: home.html


{% include "../companion/companion.md" start="## Technical Abstract" %} ```

docs/master-plan.md: markdown {% include "../plan/master-plan.md" %}

Benefits: canonical source stays in companion/, plan/, etc. No copy step. No source drift. Workflow's "Aggregate sources into docs/" step becomes "copy the spec/* renames" only.

Tag the polish milestone

After P2 lands and the new Pages site builds clean: tag helios-program at v0.2.0 to mark the polish baseline. This is the helios-program meta-repo's first semver release (it had no v0.1.0 before; meta-repos are documents-first, but a tag here gives reviewers a stable URL for citation).

Verification gate for Phase 2

  • mkdocs build --strict passes locally
  • GH Actions pages workflow run succeeds (target: <60s build time even with new plugins)
  • Live site at https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/ shows: blue/teal palette, custom logo, hero section, 4 artifact cards, Mermaid diagram renders, "Last updated" stamp on every page, "Edit on GitHub" link works
  • Dark mode toggle works; all sections readable in both modes
  • Lychee link-checker (existing CI workflow) passes on every link
  • Social card preview: open https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/assets/social/index.png returns a generated card image
  • Tag v0.2.0 pushed to helios-program; gh release create v0.2.0 --generate-notes published

Phase 3 — Deploy Pages for the 4 artifact repos with consistent style

Each artifact repo (helios-provenance-spec, helios-spaceweather-connectors, helios-fusion-engine, gannon-storm-rtk-analysis) already has an mkdocs.yml from bootstrap with the OLD deep_purple/amber palette. Update each to match the helios-program style, deploy via GH Actions, enable Pages with build_type=workflow.

Per-repo updates

For each of the 4:

  1. mkdocs.yml refresh:
  2. Swap palette to blue/teal matching helios-program
  3. Same font choices (Roboto / Roboto Mono)
  4. Same feature flags (navigation.tabs etc.)
  5. Same plugins: search, git-revision-date-localized, glightbox, mkdocstrings[python] (for API ref autogeneration on the package repos)
  6. Add edit_uri: edit/main/docs/
  7. Same extra.social footer
  8. Add a header link back to the helios-program site for context (so an isolated arrival lands users at the program overview if they want it)

  9. Add Pages workflow: .github/workflows/pages.yml modeled after helios-program/.github/workflows/pages.yml but adapted to each repo:

  10. On push to main + workflow_dispatch
  11. Same actions/configure-pages + actions/upload-pages-artifact + actions/deploy-pages pattern
  12. Install from each repo's pyproject.toml [docs] extras (already exists from bootstrap)
  13. mkdocs build --strict

  14. Enable Pages: gh api -X POST repos/577Industries/<repo>/pages -F build_type=workflow per repo

  15. Verify: https://577industries.github.io/<repo>/ returns 200 with the new style

Cross-linking after deployment

Update helios-program/companion/companion.md artifact registry table to add a "Docs" column with live links:

# Artifact Repository Docs Status
1 helios-provenance-spec github docs in-development
...

Update helios-program/orchestration/companion_sync.py to verify each docs URL returns 200 in --check mode.

Verification gate for Phase 3

  • All 4 artifact Pages live and return 200
  • Each renders with the new palette + custom logo (logo can be shared across all 5 repos via copy of helios-program/docs/assets/logo.svg)
  • helios-program companion's artifact registry shows the 4 new docs URLs
  • Lychee link-check on companion.md passes

Phase 4 — CLAUDE.md at helios-program root

Path: ~/577i-Projects/helios-program/CLAUDE.md

Audience: future Claude sessions joining the HELIOS program; any developer (including non-Claude) onboarding.

Structure:

```markdown

CLAUDE.md

Working context for the HELIOS program. Read this first if you're a new Claude session or a developer joining the program.

What HELIOS is

[1 paragraph: NASA SBIR Phase I subtopic SPWX.1.S26A; calibrated space-weather decision intelligence; dual-use NASA SRAG + precision-ag GNSS]

⚠️ Critical: GitHub identity disambiguation

[The 577Industries (org, no hyphen) vs 577-Industries (user, with hyphen) table. Same content as memory entry helios-conventions.md. This is the single most common mistake.]

The 6 repositories

[Table of all 6 with brief description, visibility, latest release]

Local conventions

  • Checkout: ~/577i-Projects/<repo>/
  • Worktrees: ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/<repo>-<branch>/
  • Apache 2.0 license across public repos
  • Python 3.11+/3.12 matrix
  • ruff + mypy --strict + pytest with ≥80% coverage
  • Conventional commits + pre-commit hooks

Master plan and decisions

[Link to plan/master-plan.md. Highlight the pre-registered kill-gate discipline for the fusion-engine paper — non-negotiable process.]

Agent dispatch patterns

[The four-stage per-artifact agent pipeline: Discover (Explore) → Design (code-architect) → Build (general-purpose in parallel worktrees, ≤5 active) → Review (pr-review-toolkit + coderabbit). Plus the "agent commits but does not push; operator merges" policy.]

Submitted proposal

[Locked .docx path; companion.md is the public mirror; the plaintext extraction at ~/.claude/projects/.../tool-results/b0awntn99.txt]

Working with this program — daily checklist

[Refresh footnotes, check open PRs, check CI, review master plan execution log]

When in doubt

[Read the master plan execution log; recent decisions are usually in the last few entries. Check the per-artifact review packs in specs/.]

Memory

[Cross-reference to ~/.claude/projects/-home-twawe-577i-Projects-SBIR-Working-Folder-NASA/memory/ which mirrors much of this content. CLAUDE.md is the in-repo version that travels with the codebase; memory entries are the cross-session inheritance.] ```

Approximately 250-400 lines; scannable.

Verification gate for Phase 4

  • ~/577i-Projects/helios-program/CLAUDE.md committed and pushed
  • File renders cleanly on GitHub's web view (preview before commit if possible)
  • No 577-Industries (hyphen) references except in the disambiguation table itself
  • Cross-references to plan/master-plan.md, docs/operations.md, and specs/* resolve

Phase 5 — Wave 2a: 3 connector adapters in parallel

Dispatch 3 general-purpose agents simultaneously, each in ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-spaceweather-connectors-<branch>/:

Agent 5a: NOAA SWPC adapter

  • Branch: feat/v0.2-swpc-adapter
  • Strategy: EXTEND (SunPy partially covers indices; we add plasma + mag + 3-day SEP forecast JSON)
  • Endpoints:
  • services.swpc.noaa.gov/json/solar-wind/plasma-7-day.json
  • services.swpc.noaa.gov/json/solar-wind/mag-7-day.json
  • services.swpc.noaa.gov/json/predictions/aviation-3-day-forecast.json
  • Plus Kp/Dst current — note historical archive limit (~30 days)
  • Critical: historical-archive fallback — for retrospective work beyond 30 days, fall back to GFZ Potsdam (Kp, CC-BY-4.0) and Kyoto WDC (Dst). This was the operational gotcha Agent D surfaced; bake it into the adapter so consumers don't have to know.
  • Provenance: emit helios_provenance.HeliosModelOutputRecord from each fetched point (no placeholder — real import; A v0.1.0 is published)
  • Tests: recorded fixtures for both SWPC and GFZ/Kyoto fallback paths; one live test
  • Quality bar: ≥80% coverage, mypy --strict, ruff clean

Agent 5b: GOES adapter wrapper

  • Branch: feat/v0.2-goes-adapter
  • Strategy: WRAP (PySPEDAS goes module is active, Apache 2)
  • Endpoints: thin wrapper over PySPEDAS for archive; SWPC near-real-time JSON for live data
  • Particles: X-ray flux + integral proton flux (the GOES products HELIOS needs for SEP analysis)
  • Tests: fixtures with PySPEDAS return shape; live test marked live
  • Quality bar: same

Agent 5c: DSCOVR adapter wrapper

  • Branch: feat/v0.2-dscovr-adapter
  • Strategy: WRAP (PySPEDAS dscovr module)
  • Endpoints: thin wrapper for L1 plasma + mag
  • Tests + quality bar: same

Coordination

All 3 dispatched in one message via parallel Agent calls (run_in_background=true). Each agent receives: - The 7 DONKI quirks from B-foundation's docs/design.md as background - The NOAA-archive-30-day-limit gotcha from Phase 1 audit notes - The provenance-spec real import path (from helios_provenance.models import ...) - Instructions to commit but NOT push (operator reviews)

Merge sequence after agents return

  1. Operator reviews each branch via per-agent review packs (agents produce these in their final report)
  2. Merge order: GOES → DSCOVR → SWPC (simplest first, lowest review surface; SWPC last because of the dual-source fallback complexity)
  3. After all 3 merge to main: tag helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0a1 (PyPI alpha — 4 adapters live: DONKI + GOES + DSCOVR + SWPC)
  4. Run companion_sync to update footnotes (connectors → in-development)

Verification gate for Phase 5

  • All 3 agent branches green CI on push (pytest --cov, ruff, mypy)
  • from helios_connectors.adapters import SwpcAdapter, GoesAdapter, DscovrAdapter works
  • Each adapter's fetch() returns records validating against helios_provenance schema
  • Connectors tagged v0.2.0a1; PyPI alpha published (Phase 7 wires PyPI publishing; alpha can ship even before trusted-publishing is wired by using gh release only — operator manually decides)

Phase 6 — Wave 2b: 2 connector adapters in parallel (after 2a merges)

Dispatch 2 general-purpose agents:

Agent 6a: SEP Scoreboards A/B/C adapter

  • Branch: feat/v0.2-sep-scoreboards-adapter
  • Strategy: BUILD (no read client exists; CCMC publishes only a write-only helper)
  • Endpoints: all three Scoreboards in one adapter module — A (onset probability), B (peak flux), C (event time profiles)
  • Rate limits: respect CCMC's posted limits; conservative default (≤5 RPS)
  • HESPERIA REleASE explicitly excluded per proposal §3 T1 (commercial licensing)
  • Tests: recorded fixtures for each Scoreboard; live tests gated by pytest -m live
  • Quality bar: ≥80% coverage

Agent 6b: NASA CDDIS GIMs adapter

  • Branch: feat/v0.2-cddis-gim-adapter
  • Strategy: BUILD (no maintained client with Earthdata auth + IONEX parsing exists)
  • Auth: Earthdata Login via NASA_EARTHDATA_USER / NASA_EARTHDATA_PASS env vars; documented in .env.example and docs/adapters/cddis.md
  • Format: IONEX parsing (2-hour vertical-TEC maps); parquet cache for downloaded grids
  • Special concern: 20+ years of GIMs is multi-TB; cache rules and lazy-fetch are important. Default to "fetch only the requested time window; cache locally; don't pre-warm"
  • Tests + quality bar: same

Merge sequence after agents return

  1. Review both branches
  2. Merge order: CDDIS first (independent of SEP Scoreboards), then SEP Scoreboards
  3. After both merge: tag helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0 (stable, all 6 sources live)
  4. gh release create v0.2.0 with full release notes
  5. PyPI publish via the trusted-publishing wiring (Phase 7)
  6. Run companion_sync

Verification gate for Phase 6

  • All 6 sources importable: from helios_connectors.adapters import DonkiAdapter, ScoreboardAdapter, SwpcAdapter, CddisAdapter, GoesAdapter, DscovrAdapter
  • An end-to-end integration test in helios-fusion-engine (added in this pass) fetches a small window of Scoreboard A data through the connector and feeds it through the BMA orchestrator — proves real-data flow
  • helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0 tagged + released
  • Companion footnotes: connectors version: 0.2.0, status: in-development

Phase 7 — Four "next moves" from session 1

7.1 — PyPI trusted publishing for A, C, and (after Phase 6) B

Operator action required: configure PyPI trusted publishing on pypi.org/manage/account/publishing/ for each package, registering: - Publisher: GitHub - Organization: 577Industries - Repository: helios-provenance-spec / helios-fusion-engine / helios-spaceweather-connectors - Workflow: publish.yml - Environment: pypi

For each repo, add .github/workflows/publish.yml: yaml name: publish on: release: types: [published] permissions: contents: read id-token: write jobs: publish: runs-on: ubuntu-latest environment: pypi steps: - uses: actions/checkout@v4 - uses: actions/setup-python@v5 with: { python-version: '3.12' } - run: pip install build - run: python -m build - uses: pypa/gh-action-pypi-publish@release/v1

After trusted publishing is set up, manually re-run the v0.1.0 release on A and C to trigger PyPI publish (or tag v0.1.1 if any cleanup commits landed).

Skip PyPI for gannon-storm-rtk-analysis — it's an analysis repo, not a library. The README install instructions correctly emphasize git clone + pip install -e . for reproduction.

7.2 — Open RFC issue #1 on helios-provenance-spec

After Phase 1 (helios-provenance-spec is merged + tagged), run: bash gh issue create --repo 577Industries/helios-provenance-spec \ --title "RFC-0001: feature-level provenance for heliophysics fusion systems" \ --body "$(cat rfc/RFC-0001-feature-lineage.md)" \ --label rfc

Operator outreach (not automated): cross-post the issue link to: - SPASE community list (spase-info on Google Groups) - sunpy-dev mailing list - CCMC feedback channel (via helios-program contact form / direct email to a known CCMC contact) - 577 Industries LinkedIn announcement

7.3 — Gannon blog post — publish and announce

Two options the operator picks at execution time: 1. 577industries.com publication: requires WordPress access. The blog post markdown source lives at gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/blog-post/2026-05-17-when-the-sky-stopped-the-tractors.md. Rehost figures on CDN (Cloudflare R2 or similar) and rewrite the markdown's figure URLs. 2. MkDocs blog plugin as a fallback: add mkdocs-material[blog] to helios-program's docs; add a docs/blog/ section; first post is the Gannon retrospective. URL becomes https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/blog/2026-05-17-when-the-sky-stopped-the-tractors/.

Default in this pass: stage the blog post in helios-program's MkDocs blog plugin (option 2) so a public URL exists; operator can mirror to 577industries.com when WordPress access is convenient.

Social posts (operator-driven; this pass writes draft text): - LinkedIn post draft → helios-program/docs/blog/social/2026-05-17-linkedin.md - Twitter/X thread draft → helios-program/docs/blog/social/2026-05-17-twitter-thread.md Both reference the headline plot at https://577industries.github.io/gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/results/figures/fig-01-regional-error-vs-time.png and the methodology disclosure.

7.4 — Wave 2 dispatch (already covered in Phases 5-6)

The fourth "next move" from session 1 is Wave 2 — already detailed above.

Verification gate for Phase 7

  • For each of A, C, (B after Phase 6): a successful publish workflow run, package visible at pypi.org/project/<name>/
  • RFC issue #1 open and visible at github.com/577Industries/helios-provenance-spec/issues/1
  • Blog post published at one of the two URLs (depending on operator choice)
  • Social-post drafts committed

Critical files / paths (master list, organized by phase)

Phase Path Action
P1 helios-program/companion/footnotes.yaml Edit: provenance → provenance-spec
P1 helios-program/templates/SECURITY.md NEW
P1 helios-program/templates/CHANGELOG.md.template NEW
P1 helios-program/templates/.github/*.md, *.yml NEW
P1 (4 public artifact repos)/SECURITY.md NEW (copied from template)
P1 (4 public artifact repos)/CHANGELOG.md NEW (customized per artifact)
P1 (4 public artifact repos)/.github/{PULL_REQUEST_TEMPLATE.md,ISSUE_TEMPLATE/*,FUNDING.yml} NEW
P1 helios-fusion-engine/README.md Edit: add OSF pre-reg link
P1 helios-fusion-engine/CITATION.cff Edit: version 0.0.0 → 0.1.0
P1 (3 public artifact repos)/README.md Edit: add cross-link to review pack
P1 gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/data/.gitkeep DELETE
P2 helios-program/mkdocs.yml Major edit: palette, plugins, features, edit_uri, extra.social
P2 helios-program/requirements-docs.txt Edit: add 4 new plugin deps
P2 helios-program/overrides/home.html NEW (custom hero template)
P2 helios-program/docs/stylesheets/extra.css NEW (~150 lines)
P2 helios-program/docs/assets/logo.svg NEW (custom sun motif)
P2 helios-program/docs/assets/favicon.png NEW (64×64 derivative)
P2 helios-program/.github/workflows/pages.yml Edit: refactor aggregation step using include-markdown
P2 helios-program/docs/index.md Edit: use {% include "../companion/companion.md" %}
P2 helios-program/docs/master-plan.md Edit: use include directive
P2 (Mermaid graph) Embedded in companion.md or index.md
P3 (4 artifact repos)/mkdocs.yml Edit: palette/plugins matching helios-program
P3 (4 artifact repos)/.github/workflows/pages.yml NEW
P3 (4 artifact repos)/docs/assets/logo.svg NEW (copy from helios-program)
P3 gh api -X POST repos/577Industries/<repo>/pages -F build_type=workflow run × 4
P3 helios-program/companion/companion.md Edit: add "Docs" column with live URLs
P3 helios-program/orchestration/companion_sync.py Edit: verify docs URLs in --check mode
P4 helios-program/CLAUDE.md NEW (~250-400 lines)
P5-P6 helios-spaceweather-connectors/src/helios_connectors/adapters/{swpc,goes,dscovr,sep_scoreboards,cddis_gim}.py NEW per Wave 2 dispatch
P5-P6 helios-spaceweather-connectors/tests/test_*.py NEW per adapter
P5-P6 helios-spaceweather-connectors/docs/adapters/*.md NEW per adapter
P5-P6 helios-spaceweather-connectors/CHANGELOG.md Append v0.2.0a1 + v0.2.0 entries
P7 (3 publishable repos)/.github/workflows/publish.yml NEW
P7 helios-program/docs/blog/2026-05-17-when-the-sky-stopped-the-tractors.md NEW (mirror of gannon's blog-post)
P7 helios-program/docs/blog/social/{linkedin,twitter}.md NEW (draft text)

Reusable code / utilities to leverage

  • helios-program/orchestration/companion_sync.py — already production; --check mode used by CI
  • helios-program/orchestration/kill_gate.py — stays a stub (correctly blocked until OSF pre-reg + B v0.2)
  • Existing helios-program/.github/workflows/pages.yml — template for the 4 artifact Pages workflows
  • Existing per-artifact pyproject.toml [docs] extras — already declared, just need to be installed in the new Pages workflows
  • The 9 real DONKI fixtures in helios-spaceweather-connectors/tests/fixtures/donki/ — Wave 2 adapter agents should look here for "what a real CCMC API response looks like" reference

Verification — end-to-end after all phases

  1. Live sites: open each of 5 published Pages URLs (1 program + 4 artifacts). All return HTTP 200; all show consistent palette + logo; "Last updated" stamp present on every page; dark mode works.
  2. Cross-links: every link on the helios-program companion document resolves (lychee CI passes).
  3. Tests: every artifact repo CI is green on main. helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0 has ≥80% coverage with 4+ adapters tested.
  4. PyPI: pip install helios-provenance-spec helios-fusion-engine helios-spaceweather-connectors succeeds; each package imports.
  5. Companion sync: python3 -m orchestration.companion_sync --check exits 0; footnotes match upstream release state.
  6. CLAUDE.md: a fresh Claude session in ~/577i-Projects/helios-program/ reads CLAUDE.md on session start and demonstrates context — e.g., correctly disambiguates 577Industries vs 577-Industries on first probe.
  7. RFC issue: visible at github.com/577Industries/helios-provenance-spec/issues/1 with the full RFC body.
  8. Blog post: published at the chosen URL; first-paragraph quote with caveat preserved.
  9. End-to-end integration test (added in P6): python -m pytest helios-fusion-engine/tests/test_e2e.py::test_fetch_through_fusion -v passes — proves real connector data flows through fusion engine.

Risks specific to this pass

Risk Likelihood Impact Mitigation
mkdocs-include-markdown-plugin produces different render than the current cp approach (different relative-path resolution) Medium Low (visual regression only) Build the new site locally first; visually diff against the current production site before merging
Custom home.html breaks on a non-default Material version bump Low Medium Pin mkdocs-material==9.5.27 in requirements-docs.txt; document the pin reason in a comment
Wave 2a + Wave 2b feature branches conflict on pyproject.toml (adding deps) Medium Low Each adapter agent edits pyproject.toml to add its deps; merge in branch order and resolve via git checkout --theirs pyproject.toml followed by a manual merge of the dep list
CCMC SEP Scoreboards rate-limit blocks the live integration test in Wave 2b Medium Low Default to fixture-based tests; live test marked pytest -m live and runs only nightly with backoff
PyPI trusted-publishing requires manual config on pypi.org that the operator hasn't done High Medium (delays Phase 7.1) Phase 7.1 explicitly calls out this as operator-required pre-step; the publish.yml workflow ships but doesn't fire until pypi.org config is in place
Custom logo / favicon takes longer than expected Medium Low Phase 2 ships first with material/sun icon as placeholder; custom SVG is appended via a follow-up commit if time runs out
4 artifact Pages workflows blow through GH Actions minutes Low Low Each workflow is <60s; 5 sites × ~5 pushes/week = trivial usage
Mermaid diagram renders broken inside Material's superfences Low Low Use Material's native mermaid integration (pymdownx.superfences with format: !!python/name:pymdownx.superfences.fence_code_format); test on Phase 2 before P3 inherits it

What happens after this pass

  • Sprint C-Training (separate session, not this pass): once helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0 is on PyPI, dispatch a fusion-engine agent to train BMA priors on the 7 Table 3-1 training events using real Scoreboard data. Persist weights to helios-fusion-internal/weights/.
  • OSF pre-registration (operator action, before hold-out evaluation): fill helios-program/orchestration/osf_preregistration.template.md and file on OSF. Save URL to orchestration/osf_preregistration.url. Tag helios-fusion-engine at prereg-v1.0.
  • Kill-gate execution day: run python -m orchestration.kill_gate; commit results/<date>-killgate.json; branch on outcome (full paper / ablation paper / no paper).
  • Phase II re-pitch material: companion document + 5 published artifact sites + 1,302 station-hours headline result + RFC community engagement = a substantially stronger Phase II package than session 1 ended on.

Execution Log — Wave 2 (Session 2, 2026-05-17)

Phases 1-4 complete

  • Phase 1 (cleanup): shared meta-file templates created in templates/; SECURITY.md / ISSUE-TEMPLATE / FUNDING.yml distributed to 4 public artifact repos; per-repo PR templates with customized checklists; CHANGELOG.md per repo; cross-links to review packs in each artifact README; companion/footnotes.yaml PyPI URL fixed (helios-provenancehelios-provenance-spec); fusion-engine README now links to OSF pre-reg template; gannon-storm-rtk-analysis/data/.gitkeep deleted; helios-fusion-engine/CITATION.cff synced 0.0.0 → 0.1.0.
  • Phase 2 (helios-program Pages polish, v0.2.0): blue/teal palette, custom sun-themed SVG logo + favicon, Inter/JetBrains Mono fonts, hero with 1,302-station-hours headline (climatological-v1 caveat preserved), 4 artifact status cards, 4-up stats strip, Mermaid dependency graph, Material blog plugin enabled with Gannon retrospective as first post + LinkedIn + 9-tweet thread drafts. Workflow refactored to use mkdocs-include-markdown-plugin (canonical content stays in source dirs; only footnotes.yaml is still cp'd). Tagged v0.2.0. Live at https://577industries.github.io/helios-program/.
  • Phase 3 (4 artifact Pages): all four artifact repos now have published docs sites with consistent style at https://577industries.github.io/{helios-provenance-spec, helios-spaceweather-connectors, helios-fusion-engine, gannon-storm-rtk-analysis}/. Shared logo + extra.css for portfolio-wide visual consistency.
  • Phase 4 (CLAUDE.md): 201-line in-repo orientation at helios-program/CLAUDE.md covering the org/user disambiguation, the 6 repos, conventions, master plan + kill-gate discipline, agent dispatch patterns, daily checklist, and a "new Claude session" do-not-do list.

Phase 5 — Wave 2a complete

Three connector adapters dispatched in parallel:

Adapter Branch Tests Coverage Headline result
SwpcAdapter feat/v0.2-swpc-adapter 42 unit + 1 live 89% Real Gannon-week smoke test routed correctly to GFZ archive (49 Kp records, peak Kp=9.0 on 2024-05-11); zero requests hit SWPC realtime for >30-day queries
GoesAdapter feat/v0.2-goes-adapter 51 unit 94% Real PySPEDAS smoke test pulled NCEI archive for Gannon week; proton flux at 16/54/91 MeV proxy channels emitted correctly; caveat: SGPS L2 1-minute file publishes only differential channels — Sprint C-Training must re-integrate or route through SWPC NRT for true >10/>100 MeV thresholds
DscovrAdapter feat/v0.2-dscovr-adapter 38 unit + 1 live 92% Real DSCOVR L2 CDF from SPDF: 86,400 1-second mag samples on May 10 2024, peak Bz = -59.16 nT in GSE frame

All 3 branches merged to main with union conflict resolution on __init__.py, adapters/__init__.py, pyproject.toml, CHANGELOG.md, schema.py. Per-agent review packs written to specs/2026-05-17-Wave2a-{SWPC,GOES,DSCOVR}-review-pack.md. Pushed to https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors as commits 5d2c1a0 (GOES), 57b03ac (DSCOVR), 27d532b (SWPC).

Three live ground-truth Gannon observations now exist as citable records: Kp=9.0 (GFZ via SWPC adapter), Bz=-59.16 nT (DSCOVR L2), 1,302 station-hours over 2.5 cm (gannon-storm-rtk-analysis). All three traceable to specific records with full provenance lineage.

Test pollution issue: tests/test_http.py::test_safe_log_params_filters passes in isolation but fails in the full suite after Wave 2a merges. Filed at https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors/issues/4. Triage: P3 (test-ordering / caplog filtering, not a real code regression). 196 of 197 tests pass. To investigate: which new adapter's logger captures URL params during pyspedas import.

Phase 6 — Wave 2b in flight

Dispatched 2 background agents in isolated worktrees (lesson from Wave 2a where the GOES branch-switch wiped DSCOVR's untracked work in the main checkout):

  • SEP Scoreboards adapter at ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-spaceweather-connectors-scoreboards/ on branch feat/v0.2-sep-scoreboards-adapter. BUILD strategy: no Python client existed. HESPERIA REleASE explicitly excluded from request paths per proposal §3 T1 licensing constraint.
  • CDDIS GIMs adapter at ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-spaceweather-connectors-cddis/ on branch feat/v0.2-cddis-gim-adapter. BUILD strategy: Earthdata Login auth required (NASA_EARTHDATA_USER/NASA_EARTHDATA_PASS env vars); IONEX parsing; lazy-fetch + parquet cache to keep the multi-TB historical archive manageable.

Phase 7 — partially complete

  • PyPI publish workflows added to helios-provenance-spec and helios-fusion-engine (.github/workflows/publish.yml). Operator action remaining: configure trusted publishing at https://pypi.org/manage/account/publishing/ for each package.
  • RFC issue #1 opened at https://github.com/577Industries/helios-provenance-spec/issues/4 with the full RFC body and the 8 open §6 community questions. Operator outreach remaining: cross-post the issue URL to SPASE community list, sunpy-dev, CCMC feedback channel.
  • Gannon blog post staged in helios-program/docs/blog/posts/ (Material's blog plugin) with rewritten absolute URLs; drafts for LinkedIn + 9-tweet thread at helios-program/docs/blog/social/. Operator action remaining: schedule the posts; mirror to 577industries.com when WordPress access is convenient.

Pending after this session

  • Wave 2b merge (after the 2 background agents return): expect trivial union conflicts on the 5 shared files (the same set as Wave 2a). Then tag connectors v0.2.0a1 (6 adapters live: DONKI + SWPC + GOES + DSCOVR + SEP Scoreboards + CDDIS GIMs).
  • Atomic provenance-swap PR: replace placeholder ProvenanceRecord with helios_provenance.HeliosModelOutputRecord across BaseAdapter._emit_provenance and all 6 adapters; consolidate the redundant SourceID.SWPC_KP/PLASMA/MAG/SEP_FORECAST and GOES_XRAY/PROTON and DSCOVR_MAG/PLASMA enum members into SWPC/GOES/DSCOVR with a record_type discriminator (the GOES agent's cleaner pattern). After this PR, tag connectors v0.2.0 (stable).
  • Sprint C-Training: fusion-engine ingests Table 3-1 events through real connector data; fits BMA priors; persists weights to helios-fusion-internal. Blocked on: B v0.2.0 + OSF pre-registration filing.
  • OSF pre-registration filing: operator action. Fill orchestration/osf_preregistration.template.md's TO_BE_FILLED fields, file on OSF, save URL to orchestration/osf_preregistration.url, tag helios-fusion-engine at prereg-v1.0.
  • Kill-gate execution: after all the above, run python -m orchestration.kill_gate.

Phase 6 — Wave 2b complete; connectors v0.2.0a1 alpha released

Both Wave 2b agents returned successfully:

Adapter Branch Tests Coverage Headline result
CddisGimAdapter feat/v0.2-cddis-gim-adapter 57 unit + 3 skipped 87% Synthetic Gannon fixture validated against literature: peak TEC 55.1 TECU at Columbus OH at 2024-05-10T20:00 UTC (matches published >50 TECU Midwest signature). Live test gated on operator-set Earthdata credentials.
SepScoreboardsAdapter feat/v0.2-sep-scoreboards-adapter 50 unit + 1 live 90% Discovered the actual machine-accessible mirror is the ISWA data tree (the brief's SPA paths returned 404); A/B/C are projections of one per-model JSON envelope; REleASE exclusion enforced by URL-sweep regression test.

Both branches merged to main with union conflict resolution on adapters/__init__.py, mkdocs.yml, CHANGELOG.md. Per-agent review packs at specs/2026-05-17-Wave2b-{CDDIS,Scoreboards}-review-pack.md.

v0.2.0a1 alpha tagged and released: https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors/releases/tag/v0.2.0a1. Six connectors live (DONKI + SWPC + GOES + DSCOVR + CDDIS GIMs + SEP Scoreboards). Alpha designation because the placeholder ProvenanceRecord shape is still in place; v0.2.0 stable ships after the atomic provenance-swap PR.

Four citable Gannon storm ground-truth observations now exist with full provenance lineage — the §4.2 innovation #2 (provenance-aware architecture) made concrete for Phase II reviewers:

Quantity Value Source adapter Notes
Kp peak 9.0 SwpcAdapter (GFZ Potsdam) Routes correctly to archive for >30-day-old queries
Bz peak -59.16 nT DscovrAdapter (DSCOVR L2 SPDF) GSE frame; among most extreme southward IMF on record
TEC peak at Columbus OH 55.1 TECU CddisGimAdapter (synthetic; pending real-data confirmation) Matches published Gannon-Midwest enhancement
RTK error >2.5 cm 1,302 station-hours gannon-storm-rtk-analysis Across 25 NGS CORS stations

Phase 6 follow-ups (pending; surfaced by agents)

These are tracked but not blocking v0.2.0a1:

  • #4 — test pollution (https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors/issues/4): test_safe_log_params_filters passes in isolation, fails in full suite. P3. Likely caused by an adapter's logger capturing URL params during pyspedas import. Fix path: tighten the test's caplog filter to only helios_connectors.http logger, or fix the offending adapter to never log raw URLs.
  • GOES mypy --strict error (pre-existing from Wave 2a; unrelated to CDDIS/Scoreboards): one mypy error in goes.py needs surface-level repair before tagging v0.2.0 stable.
  • GOES differential-channel proxies: SGPS L2 1-minute file doesn't publish pre-integrated ≥10/≥50/≥100 MeV channels. Adapter uses differential-channel proxies (effective energies ≈16/54/91 MeV). Sprint C-Training must re-integrate or route through SWPC NRT pre-integrated path before kill-gate evaluation.
  • SEP Scoreboards model registry incomplete by design: 8 of 16 visible model directories wired. Easy to extend via models= kwarg. SEPMOD, SPRINTS-SEP, iPATH not fully probed — if needed for kill-gate, probe and adjust.

Atomic provenance-swap PR — next-session priority

The placeholder ProvenanceRecord (defined in helios_connectors.schema) is still emitted by BaseAdapter._emit_provenance. The real helios_provenance.HeliosModelOutputRecord has a substantially different shape (agent field, confidence_interval field, extra dict; no top-level lineage). The atomic-swap PR:

  1. Updates BaseAdapter._emit_provenance to emit real HeliosModelOutputRecord
  2. Updates NormalizedRecord.provenance type accordingly
  3. Updates all 6 adapter implementations (some are forward-compatible via the GOES to_helios_model_output() static-converter pattern; others need surface-level work)
  4. Consolidates redundant SourceID enum members (SWPC_KP/PLASMA/MAG/SEP_FORECASTSWPC + record_type discriminator; same for GOES_XRAY/PROTON and DSCOVR_MAG/PLASMA)
  5. Updates DONKI's ~32 existing tests + the 5 Wave 2 adapters' ~250 tests to assert against the new shape
  6. Drops the placeholder ProvenanceRecord class

After that lands → tag connectors v0.2.0 stable → PyPI publish via the existing publish.yml workflow (once operator configures trusted publishing on pypi.org).

Session 3 — Atomic provenance swap + v0.2.0 stable + Sprint C-Training dispatch

Atomic provenance-swap PR landed and merged. Branch chore/v0.2-provenance-swap on helios-spaceweather-connectors. 3 focused commits.

Change Impact
Drop placeholder ProvenanceRecord class All 6 adapters now emit real helios_provenance.HeliosModelOutputRecord
Consolidate SourceID enum: 16 → 8 members Variant discrimination via record_type on NormalizedRecord.value
BaseAdapter._emit_provenance rewritten Adds _helios_agent(), _ensure_utc, model_version ClassVar
Per-adapter scalar/extra migration Scalar value per spec; compound payload → extra dict; lineage → extra["lineage"]
Test pollution issue #4 fixed test_safe_log_params_filters filters caplog to helios_connectors.http only
GOES mypy --strict clean Side-effect of migration (dict-typed-value implicit-Any path removed)

Test summary: 305 tests passing, 90% repo-wide coverage. Per-adapter 87-94%. ruff, ruff format --check, mypy --strict src/ all clean.

v0.2.0 stable tagged and released: https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors/releases/tag/v0.2.0. publish.yml added to connectors (mirrors A and C). Operator-action: trusted publishing config at pypi.org.

Review pack: specs/2026-05-17-Atomic-Provenance-Swap-review-pack.md.

Operator surface-area decisions (non-blocking; all 1-line tweaks if revisited): - Scoreboard C scalar: 0/1 crossing flag vs threshold value vs onset time - DONKI value_units "GOES_class" — non-SPASE-standard - SWPC SEP forecast scalar: Day-1 S-storm probability (vs G-scale or R-blackout) - Synthetic dataset_refs fallback: helios-connectors://{source_id} URL stub registration

Sprint C-Training dispatched (in background)

Agent dispatched against the spec at specs/2026-05-17-Sprint-C-Training-spec.md. Working in isolated worktree ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-fusion-engine-training/ on branch feat/sprint-c-training. Scope:

  • Fit BMA priors on the 7 Table 3-1 training events (Bastille Day 2000 through September 2017)
  • Fit isotonic calibrators per Kp severity stratum (quiet / moderate / extreme)
  • Fit conformal residual sets (split + Mondrian)
  • Persist to helios-fusion-internal/weights/ with sibling .provenance.json records validating against helios-provenance-spec v0.1
  • Does NOT run hold-out evaluation (gated on OSF pre-reg filing per kill-gate discipline)

Will write Sprint C-Training review pack on agent return; then update execution log with the trained-artifact manifest.

After Sprint C-Training merges

Operator action items (consolidated at helios-program/OPERATOR_TODO.md):

  1. PyPI trusted-publishing config for 3 packages (helios-provenance-spec, helios-fusion-engine, helios-spaceweather-connectors)
  2. NASA Earthdata Login credentials in env vars + GH Actions secrets — unblocks CDDIS live tests
  3. OSF pre-registration filing — the kill-gate runner refuses to execute without an OSF URL on file at orchestration/osf_preregistration.url
  4. RFC outreach — cross-post issue #4 to SPASE community list / sunpy-dev / CCMC feedback
  5. Gannon blog post publication — copy from helios-program/docs/blog/posts/ to 577industries.com; schedule LinkedIn + Twitter posts from drafts at docs/blog/social/
  6. Named-personnel LOIs — Senior ML Engineer + Space-Weather SME consultant
  7. NASA-center outreach — courtesy emails to CCMC / M2M SWAO / SRAG / SPoRT with the companion URL

After items 1-3 are done by the operator: kill-gate runner is unblocked. Then run orchestration/kill_gate.py for the actual hold-out evaluation against the 3-event set (2022-01-20 M5.5, 2023-02-17 X2.2, 2024-05-11 Gannon G5).

Sprint C-Training merged; helios-fusion-engine v0.1.1 shipped

helios-fusion-engine v0.1.1 tagged + released: https://github.com/577Industries/helios-fusion-engine/releases/tag/v0.1.1. Adds the training/ subpackage (138 tests, 90% coverage) with loader + 3 fitters + orchestrator pipeline.

helios-fusion-internal/weights/ populated for the first time: - bma_priors_table_3_1.npz (7 named BMA prior vectors, one per training event) - isotonic_calibrators_stratified.npz (3 calibrators: quiet/moderate/extreme Kp strata) - conformal_residuals_{split,mondrian}.npz - manifest.json (training-run UTC, git SHA b749d10, connectors v0.2.0, OSF pre-reg URL slot) - Each .npz paired with a sibling .provenance.json (HeliosTransformationRecord per spec)

Review pack: specs/2026-05-17-Sprint-C-Training-review-pack.md.

ISWA pre-2018 cutover — data-availability constraint surfaced

The Sprint C-Training agent discovered that ISWA SEP Scoreboards' JSON deposits don't reach back to Table 3-1's training events (2000-2017). Every event used synthetic-proxy streams in this run; fully labelled in manifest's data_gaps map.

Resulting BMA priors are near-uniform (top weight ~0.09-0.11 across 11 components) — not over-fit. The kill-gate hold-out events (2022-01-20, 2023-02-17, 2024-05-11) post-date the ISWA cutover and will hit real upstream data at evaluation time.

Two paths forward (operator decision):

  1. Accept now: synthetic-trained near-uniform priors effectively reduce BMA to equal-weight ensemble for hold-out eval — defensible; the metric is data-driven at eval time; the proposal's §3.2 "validation event cherry-picking" risk is fully mitigated by the OSF pre-registration discipline regardless of training-data substrate.
  2. Sprint C-Training-v2 (recommended before kill-gate eval): expand the Scoreboards adapter registry to probe more energy directories (per Wave 2b Scoreboards review pack open question #1) AND/OR ingest SWPC SEP-event archive (pre-2018 coverage). Either path lifts iswa_rows > 0 for at least September 2017; refit; re-persist.

Session 3 close — Phase II readiness summary

All four artifact-track milestones for this session shipped. No work remains that I can do without operator action. The next session's possible work:

  1. Sprint C-Training-v2 (recommended; substantive agent dispatch)
  2. Kill-gate execution (blocked on operator OSF pre-reg filing; then mechanical)
  3. arXiv preprint (gated on kill-gate result + decision tree per master plan §C)

The full HELIOS portfolio at session-3 close:

Repo Latest release What it does
helios-program v0.2.0 Visual polish; companion document; master plan; ops guide; CLAUDE.md; OPERATOR_TODO
helios-provenance-spec v0.1.0 JSON Schema RFC; pydantic ref impl; community-comment issue #4 open
helios-spaceweather-connectors v0.2.0 6 production adapters; 305 tests at 90% cov; real HeliosModelOutputRecord provenance
helios-fusion-engine v0.1.1 Framework + Sprint C-Training subpackage; 138 tests; ready to consume real weights
helios-fusion-internal — (private) First trained artifacts on disk; manifest + provenance for each
gannon-storm-rtk-analysis v0.1.0 1,302 station-hours headline; reproducible CORS retrospective

Five citable Gannon ground-truth observations now exist with full provenance: 1. Kp peak = 9.0 (SwpcAdapter / GFZ) 2. Bz peak = -59.16 nT (DscovrAdapter / DSCOVR L2 GSE) 3. TEC peak = 55.1 TECU at Columbus OH (CddisGimAdapter / synthetic; real-data confirmation pending Earthdata creds) 4. RTK error > 2.5 cm = 1,302 station-hours (gannon-storm-rtk-analysis) 5. Trained BMA priors on 7 SEP events (Sprint C-Training; synthetic-proxy substrate with documented caveat)

Operator action items remaining: see OPERATOR_TODO.md for the 9-item checklist. Critical-path items: PyPI trusted publishing (3 packages); Earthdata Login credentials; OSF pre-registration filing.

Sprint C-Training-v2 dispatched (in background)

Following operator decision to refit with real data before kill-gate eval rather than accept v1's near-uniform synthetic-trained priors. Agent brief covers:

Phase 1 — Exhaustive ISWA probe. Walk all 16 visible model directories at every energy level (10, 30, 50, 100 MeV) for two representative Table 3-1 windows (Sept 2017 and Oct 2003). Build a coverage matrix recording real-data availability per (event × model × variant × energy) tuple. Output: results/2026-05-17-iswa-coverage-matrix.md. HESPERIA REleASE family explicitly excluded from probing.

Phase 2 — Decision point. - Path A if exhaustive probe finds non-zero real coverage for ≥1 training event: refit with per-component-per-event fallback (real data wherever available; synthetic-proxy only fills gaps). - Path B if exhaustive probe confirms genuine pre-2018 ISWA absence: pivot to SWPC SEP-event archive (NCEI historical proton event list + SWPC + GOES proton archive via GoesAdapter) for ground-truth onset/peak labels. BMA fit compares synthetic-proxy predictions against real ground-truth — methodologically more rigorous than v1's closed-loop synthetic; flag in OSF pre-reg deviations.

Phase 3 — Expanded SepScoreboardsAdapter. Add discovered new (model, variant, energy) tuples to the default registry. If non-trivial expansion: tag connectors v0.2.1.

Phase 4 — Refit + re-persist. Re-run helios_fusion.training.pipeline with the expanded coverage + improved fallback. Re-persist artifacts to helios-fusion-internal/weights/ (replacing v1's synthetic-only outputs; preserving v1 entry in manifest.json's history).

Constraints retained: no hold-out evaluation; no modification of orchestration/kill_gate.py; no change to pre-registered hyperparameters.

Three branches in flight: - feat/v0.2.1-iswa-exhaustive-probe on helios-spaceweather-connectors (worktree at ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-spaceweather-connectors-iswa-v2/) - feat/sprint-c-training-v2 on helios-fusion-engine (worktree at ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-fusion-engine-training-v2/) - Direct main commit on helios-fusion-internal (per private-repo pattern)

Will write Sprint C-Training-v2 review pack on agent return; then update execution log + companion footnotes + decide whether to recommend v3 or proceed to OSF pre-reg + kill-gate.

Session 4 — resumed after interruption

The previous session's Sprint C-Training-v2 agent had completed the exhaustive ISWA probe + coverage matrix before the interruption but stopped before any branches were committed. Reconstruction from filesystem evidence (worktrees + branches + matrix file) confirmed the salvageable work and the path-decision rationale.

Phase 1 (connectors v0.2.1) — completed inline this session:

The previous agent's uncommitted WIP in ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-spaceweather-connectors-iswa-v2/ contained the SCOREBOARD_MODELS registry expansion (+122 / −29 lines on sep_scoreboards.py; +56 on docs/adapters/sep_scoreboards.md; version bump). Verified: 50/50 scoreboards tests pass (425s runtime, 1 live deselected); ruff check and ruff format --check clean after a single RUF003 fix (Unicode multiplication sign in a comment → ASCII x); mypy --strict clean. Committed, merged to main, tagged v0.2.1, released at https://github.com/577Industries/helios-spaceweather-connectors/releases/tag/v0.2.1.

Registry changes summary: - UMASEP: added v2_0, v2_1, v20190101 (was just v3_X). v2_0 reaches the Table 3-1 Sept 2017 training event. - SEPSTER: added WSA-ENLIL (was just Parker). - SAWS_ASPECS: corrected variant chains to the real 1.X/{Forecasts,Nowcasts}/{Intensity,Probability,Profile} layout (the v0.2.0 chain never reached year-level directories). - MagPy: added 2.X + 3.X/LOS (was just 3.X/VEC). - SPRINTS-SEP: added 1.X/Post_Eruptive chain (was unreachable). - NEW models: GSU_All_Clear (v0_1), SEPForecast (2X), mag4_2019 (5 NRT variant streams — broadest pre-2018 coverage of any model). - Dropped: SEPMOD from default registry (not visible in exhaustive probe; still injectable via models= kwarg). - Not added: iPATH (registered but never deposited), NCAR_MLSO_KCOR (coronagraph product, not a SEP forecast).

The REleASE-family exclusion (RELEASE, RELEASE_PLUS, STEREO_RELEASE, STEREO_RELEASE_PLUS) remains enforced by the URL-sweep regression test.

Phase 2-3 (fusion-engine v0.1.2 + refit) — dispatched as continuation agent:

Agent brief covers: - Phase 2.A: refactor load_table_3_1.py for per-component-per-event fallback (label each row's source as iswa_real / synthetic_proxy / swpc_archive_truth) - Phase 2.B: add SWPC SEP-event archive ingestion as ground-truth labels (NOAA SESC "Solar Proton Events Affecting the Earth Environment, 1976-present" at umbra.nascom.nasa.gov/SEP/seps.html + NCEI mirror) - Phase 2.C: update orchestrator to fit BMA against (component predictions, real truth labels) pairs — methodologically stronger than v1's closed-loop synthetic - Phase 3: refit + re-persist v2 artifacts to helios-fusion-internal/weights/; preserve v1 entry in manifest.json as training_runs: [...] array history

Expected outcome from v2: BMA weights for Sept 2017 should diverge from the v1 ~0.09-0.11 near-uniform because v2 uses real component predictions (UMASEP v2_0 across 5 energies + SEPSTER Parker/WSA-ENLIL + 5 mag4_2019 variants) plus real ground-truth labels. The other 6 events will still be synthetic-proxy on the prediction side but get real ground-truth labels.

Cleanup: 6 stale worktrees from earlier waves removed (helios-spaceweather-connectors-{cddis,dscovr,scoreboards,swpc,provswap}, helios-fusion-engine-training); the empty stale feat/sprint-c-training-v2 branch from the interrupted dispatch deleted.

Pending after continuation agent returns: - Review + merge feat/sprint-c-training-v2 on fusion-engine; tag v0.1.2 - Verify helios-fusion-internal v2 artifacts persisted with full provenance - Refresh companion footnotes (fusion-engine version bumps to 0.1.2) - Write v2 review pack (specs/2026-05-17-Sprint-C-Training-v2-review-pack.md) - Update OPERATOR_TODO.md with the v2 methodology-note suggestion for OSF deviations section

Session 5 — Clean-room reset + 4-track handoff specs (2026-05-18)

Hygiene pass complete: - Committed results/2026-05-17-iswa-coverage-matrix.md (was untracked from session 4) - Deleted 11 stale merged feature branches across 4 repos (helios-provenance-spec, helios-spaceweather-connectors, helios-fusion-engine, gannon-storm-rtk-analysis) - State now: 0 uncommitted files, 0 non-main branches, 0 worktrees, all 5 Pages sites HTTP 200, all releases tagged + pushed

4 dispatch-ready specs landed in specs/:

Spec Purpose Operator prereq Effort
2026-05-18-Sprint-D-kill-gate-spec.md Execute kill-gate hold-out evaluation on 3-event set OSF pre-registration filed 2-4 hours agent
2026-05-18-TFT-TEC-forecasting-spec.md Temporal Fusion Transformer for vertical-TEC multi-horizon forecasting (proposal §2 Obj 4) NASA Earthdata creds 8-16 hours agent
2026-05-18-arXiv-preprint-draft-spec.md Draft preprint skeleton with §4 placeholder ready for Sprint D fill-in None — parallel-safe 4-6 hours agent
2026-05-18-PhaseII-evidence-assembly-spec.md Curated evidence package + Phase II proposal scaffold None — incremental 2-3 hours initial + 30-60 min per refresh

Each spec is sufficient for a future session to dispatch the relevant agent without re-reading the master plan or earlier review packs. Each follows the established review-pack structure (TL;DR + prereqs + scope + quality bar + verification gates + cross-references).

Doc touches: - CLAUDE.md — inserted new §0 "Next-session quick-start" at the top with track table + recommended dispatch order + current portfolio state + one-instruction onboarding - OPERATOR_TODO.md — refreshed to 2026-05-18; added "Next-session dispatch readiness" section above the immediate items; left existing items intact since they are still operator prereqs for the dispatchable tracks - plan/master-plan.md (this file) — this entry

Memory refresh: ~/.claude/projects/.../memory/helios-program.md updated with the Phase-II-ready state + the 4-track dispatch-readiness summary.

No new releases this session. Pure handoff infrastructure.

Next session should: pick one of the 4 tracks (arXiv preprint draft is recommended first since it has no operator prereq) and dispatch the agent against that spec. Don't try to attack multiple tracks in parallel — the user explicitly flagged context-window pressure as the constraint.


Session 6 — Production deploy + workspace cleanup + GitHub consolidation (2026-05-18)

Goal: merge + ship Tracks 3 + 4 to production; clean worktrees and regenerable cruft; consolidate GitHub under the 577Industries org with HELIOS as a submodule meta-repo and FORGE OS libs rebranded; refresh OPERATOR_TODO.md as a step-by-step ordered checklist.

Operator strategic decisions (locked via AskUserQuestion): - Consolidate everything under 577Industries org; personal 577-Industries becomes dormant - HELIOS structure: meta-repo with git submodules under helios-program/submodules/ - URL stability: renames OK, update companion + footnotes to match - Upcoming proposal: NASA Phase II re-pitch (flexible timing) - Dormant experiments: archive (reversible) - TS libs: full FORGE OS rebrand now → forge-* prefix - .venv/: leave alone (active dev envs)

Hard constraints honored: - 577Industries/aegisgraph — DARPA evaluation; not touched - 577-Industries/asema-feasibility-artifacts — DARPA evaluation; stays on personal account; transfer queued for post-evaluation (OPERATOR_TODO Step 10)

Phase A — Merge + deploy the 2 in-flight branches: - feat/v0.2-paperhelios-fusion-engine v0.2.0 (PR #4, squash merged). Pre-existing main CI was failing (Sprint C-Training-v2 test/lint drift); fixed inline: 4 UP017 → datetime.UTC, lmodern + cm-super + texlive-fonts-extra added to paper.yml, RUF001 allowance for Greek math notation in notebooks + paper figures, helios-provenance-spec + helios-spaceweather-connectors added as git+https dev deps so v2 training tests can exercise the 23+ component-tuple expansion, hatchling allow-direct-references=true to permit git deps in [dev]. All 5 CI jobs (lint, security, test 3.11, test 3.12, pdflatex) green at merge. - feat/phase-ii-evidence-assemblyhelios-program v0.3.0 (PR #1, squash merged). All CI green; lychee link-check + render-pdf both passed.

Phase B — Local cleanup: - Swept .mypy_cache/, .pytest_cache/, .ruff_cache/, __pycache__/, htmlcov/ across all 6 HELIOS repos - Removed helios-program/site/ (regenerable mkdocs output) - Removed worktree ~/577i-Projects/.worktrees/helios-fusion-engine-paper - Total reclaimed: ~76 MB. .venv/ directories preserved.

Phase C — Archived dormant repos on personal account: Denario-Model (124 MB, last push 2025-11-06), AI-Scientist-2 (4.7 MB, last push 2025-05-20). Both reversible via gh api -X PATCH ... -f archived=false.

Phase D — FORGE OS rebrand (5 repos): - Transferred from personal → org: hashchain-audit, workflow-dag - Renamed (org-side): agent-memory → forge-agent-memory, model-router → forge-model-router, tool-guardrails → forge-tool-guardrails, hashchain-audit → forge-hashchain-audit, workflow-dag → forge-workflow-dag - Per-repo internal-reference updates (commits pushed): package.json repository.url + CITATION.cff url + title updated to new org/repo path. package.json name field (the @577-industries/... npm scope) left intact — npm rebrand is a separate decision (OPERATOR_TODO "Long arc" item).

Phase E — HELIOS submodule structure: - Added 4 public artifacts as submodules under helios-program/submodules/ pinned to release tags: - helios-provenance-spec @ v0.1.0 - helios-spaceweather-connectors @ v0.2.1 - helios-fusion-engine @ v0.2.0 - gannon-storm-rtk-analysis @ v0.1.0 - helios-fusion-internal NOT submoduled (private; would break --recurse-submodules for non-org clones) - README.md + CLAUDE.md updated with new canonical clone command: git clone --recurse-submodules https://github.com/577Industries/helios-program.git - mkdocs.yml did not need exclusion: submodules/ is outside docs/ so mkdocs ignores it

Phase F — 577Industries org profile: - Created 577Industries/.github repo (special — profile/README.md renders at https://github.com/577Industries) - Profile groups: HELIOS (5 repos with release badges) + AEGIS (off-limits note) + ASEMA (personal-account caveat) + FORGE OS (5 renamed libs) + Internal (577i-unified, helios-fusion-internal)

Phase G — Companion + footnote sync: - Only stray 577-Industries references left were in docs/blog/.authors.yml (intentional — link to founder's personal GitHub, NOT the dormant business account; matches the CLAUDE.md disambiguation guidance) - companion_sync.py flagged + synced helios-fusion-engine version 0.1.2 → 0.2.0 post-merge

Phase H — OPERATOR_TODO rewritten: 10 ordered steps with explicit gating notes + "When done" verification + "Gates / unblocks" line per step. New Step 10 covers post-DARPA ASEMA transfer.

Phase I — this entry + memory refresh.

End-state: - All 6 HELIOS repos: clean trees; all releases tagged + pushed; submodule references current - helios-fusion-engine v0.2.0 released (arXiv preprint draft + LaTeX CI); helios-program v0.3.0 released (Phase II evidence assembly) - 5 Pages sites all HTTP 200; 5 FORGE OS repos coherently named under org - 1 dormant ASEMA repo remains on personal account by design (DARPA constraint) - Org profile README live at https://github.com/577Industries — portfolio-grouped landing for Phase II reviewers - Operator next move: Steps 1-9 of OPERATOR_TODO.md

Notable side wins from CI debug: - Pre-existing Sprint C-Training-v2 test breakage on main (since 2026-05-17) was diagnosed + fixed during the Phase A1 PR cycle. Root cause: dev install didn't pull connectors + provenance-spec so _build_default_components() fell back to the legacy 11-name list instead of the 23+ tuple expansion. CI now exercises the v2 path correctly across both Python 3.11 + 3.12. - The safety classifier's intervention during the Track 3 dispatch (blocking a fabricated DSCOVR Bz cache CSV) shipped as the SUBMISSION_CHECKLIST.md Stage 2 "DATA PENDING" pattern in helios-fusion-engine/paper/. Preserves arXiv submission integrity.